Monday, December 4, 2017

A Letter about RH Water from David Frisby


Contents

Intro

It’s been a while since I have posted an update.  Besides the fact, that I have been extremely busy managing my business and employees, I have been waiting to find the time to write this. As Eric stated in his letter, we are writing these updates as personal opinions, after being closely involved with the developments related to the sale and condition of the Rolling Hills Water System.  As most of you know, I started reporting on my blog, about Rolling Hills Water, long before I joined as a board member.  This will probably be my last post for quite a while.

Who am I?
(A little background information on me; skip this section if you’re not interested)

For those who don’t know, I am fully invested in Rolling Hills, and I believe in RH; as I just built a 6200 sf home on an undeveloped lot on Sierra View St, and I still have a prior home on Fig Grove Rd, built in 1976.  I’ve lived in the central valley all my life, raised by a single mother, and I have always worked for everything I’ve received.  As a youth, I started working as a janitor’s aid. Then at 15, I began door to door sales. Every day after school and every Saturday I knocked doors selling newspaper subscriptions. I’ve walked just about every street in Fresno and knocked on thousands of doors. At 18, I knocked doors for Fresno Cable for 9 years, until starting my own vending machine company at 27.  After 3 years and over 100 locations, decided to open a restaurant, on Cedar and Shepherd called Burrito Loco.  What a challenging business! This is where I truly learned how to hire and manage people.  After 6 years and while working on my secondary mathematics teaching credential, I decided to get into the public sector.  I sold the restaurant, and began teaching high school and middle school mathematics for 6 years; I quickly realized teaching is one of the lowest paid, hard work careers found; my hat is off to teachers!  Luckily the charter school I was at, had a complete turnover of staff and everyone was let go.  This is when I found my best suited career to date, and strangely enough all the ventures leading up to this, is what prepared me to be the best at what I do.  I help people manage their everyday risk.  Today I have 10 employees and over 3000 clients, as an Allstate Agent, and 6 time honor ring champion.

Why does all this matter?  Because I started from the ground up, like many of you.  No money given as a head start, and no father figure to learn from.  These hard lessons, figuring it out on your own, are the best lessons one can learn.  It makes you stronger; the more challenges you face in life and overcome, the wiser you become.  None of this comes without risk, starting a business is like building a well. There are no guarantees, but if you do your homework, put your time in, and have the right intuition you can achieve a successful return.

What are the Possibilities?

I believe in Rolling Hills; If we can establish a strong redundant water system, homes our little community could hold far greater property values than homes in Riverstone.  There are so many possibilities for Rolling Hills.  However, like a business, to make Rolling Hills great, it takes investment and leadership.  Just think what this community could be, if it were gated, we had new roads, and we had a maintenance program. We are in such a desirable location, just look around to see, this is where everyone wants to be!  In addition, our large lots are a thing of the past, and believe it, most people do prefer more land; it’s just not feasible for todays developers.

What is the status on the water situation?

Since the last big association meeting, where we voted in favor of Cal Water 120 to 43, Supervisor Frazier decided to wait for Bakman Water to submit a proposal; with the strong encouragement from two of our RH Board members. Bakman’s plea was they didn’t have enough time to develop a proper proposal, and “30 days would not make a big difference” in the grand scheme of things.  However when the 30 days was awarded, then begun the continuation of weeks thereafter to have meetings and explain the proposal to the county, our board, and have a public meeting to inform the ratepayers.  At that meeting there were approximately 50 attendees, to hear about Bakman’s proposal compared to the 180 ratepayers who turned out for the original vote at Valley Childrens.  This is understandable because many of the people who voted, have already made up their mind and voted it; thus why show up for another meeting?

The original plan given by Supervisor Frazier, at the meeting between the County, Bakman, and our Board, was that the County B.O.S. would present this to the County Board for a vote this December.  I made sure to ask him, before the meeting adjourned, if he would take it to the board this year.

I have made multiple calls to Supervisor Frazier’s Office, and I have been told that we were not scheduled on the calendar yet, because the situation is with county council.  Now, as of last week, my sources are now informing me they will not vote on it this year.  This week I spoke with Supervisor Frazier, he stated they have submitted a request for documentation to both Bakman and Calwater.  They will use this document and its answers to aid in their decision making, and to form the contract outlining the responsibilities of the company taking over.  He also stated, they plan to mail out ballots, by mail, to each ratepayer, and he will use the results of that vote to aid him in his vote.

Did our vote matter?

I feel that it had an impact, showing the voice of our community.  However with all the stalling and behind the scenes political juggling, who knows what direction we will wind up in.  I feel the stalling in waiting for the Bakman proposal, and now explaining it, has now created doubt amongst the county. In contrast to feeling that everyone at the county was “on board for Calwater” at the July meeting when they presented the county rate study findings to our RH Board. 

Details about the Bakman Proposal

In October Bakman Water revealed their proposal to us, below is a summary of that proposal:

Shallow Water Wells

Their plan is primarily based upon using shallow water wells and adding a new well into the system. Their shallow water well theory is based on the premise that wells around the 400 to 500 foot range will have less problems with water quality.  Their claim is that deep water wells, like the newest one we have (around 900 ft), supply water with more contaminants; specifically the arsenic, which is our main culprit at well 3.  

Concerns with the shallow water well theory

A concern from a resident of 42 years

At the Bakman presentation, a resident of 42 years in Rolling Hills, stood up to ask why they thought shallow water wells would be the solution? He informed us that 30 years ago, Rolling Hills residents were informed their wells were not deep enough and that shallow water wells were causing problems back then. (If the gentleman who spoke, reads this, please contact me. Or anyone who has experience with shallow water well issues in the past)

Bakman’s response was “their geologist Ken Schmidt who is the authority on water wells in this area, informed them, this was our solution to water quality”.  Bakman is basing their plan on the opinion of this geologist; which we have not seen his opinion in writing yet.  I have concerns with this response for two reasons: 1. Where does the buck stop? If its decided that our next service provider is going to use shallow wells, and there is a problem, where will the finger point?  Is Bakman going to point there finger toward the geologist?  Most likely, yes, because of the way they answered.  They didn’t say they think this would solve our problems; they said their geologist thinks this would.  2. Just about every well driller, I’ve spoken to, uses Ken Schmidt. In fact, he works with the county, in developing most of their wells.  Most likely, he was the geologist involved in the development of our last well; which we are having problems with.  I say this because county employees have told me they use Ken Schmidt when developing a new well.

What happens if shallow wells run dry?

Let’s face it, with all the development going on around us, and the history of droughts we’ve experienced, there is a good chance we may need to go deeper.  There are tens of thousands of homes slated to go in around us; in addition to a new Community Hospital on 12 and 41.  They plan to make this area into a little city.  If we are sitting here with shallow water wells and the drought hits, who is going to run out of water first?

Riving Old Wells or Using that Land

Another strategy of Bakman Water is to try to revive old wells or use the land where the old well was located.  From the documentation they showed us; they revealed:

1.       They may be able to use old well sites to drill a new well next to it. However when asked if the sites would meet they current well site requirements of 100ft by 100ft, they didn’t know.  Back when the old wells were developed there were less restrictions; these days, the county code requires 1/3 of a football field for a well site; along with a lot of other expenses that were not in the Bakman budget for the development of a new well site.

2.       They revealed, the only well site they may be able to revive, would be the S&J well that we used to lease.  There are two problems with this: 1. It’s an ag well 2. We don’t have permission, from the land owner, to use it any longer.

Funding

Bakman’s proposal is fundamentally circled around. Rehabbing the 2 wells we have, and digging a new well. This is the exact same proposal the county presented; there are only 2 differences:

1. The cost to build the new well.
2. Bakman’s plan to use shallow water wells.

This leads me to the financing of the new water well.  Bakman admitted that his company would have to secure long term financing, in order to fund the capital improvements (installing the new well).  Because his company is unable to show the cash reserves, without borrowing, needed to fund the proposed new well. His team brought a letter of credit from Tri-County bank, stating he has the ability to qualify for a $800k line of credit.  This concerns me, because I don’t see how we could even consider handing over our water system to a company, for free, who has to go get a loan in order to make the improvements they admit are required. 

In addition their numbers are very concerning. The Bakman proposal is to secure a new water supply within 6 to 12mo.  However their presentation projected the costs estimated to drill and install a new shallow water well only; at an estimated $800,000.  Bakman proposes to fund $800,000 by using low interest rate loans, however the $800,000 costs projected in their power point presentation, shown at the firehouse in October, left out the costs needed to secure a new well site, the costs to fence and connect the site to utilities, and any other water treatment which may be needed.  These additional cost could be hundreds of thousands.

Calwater’s Proposal

In Calwaters proposal:

1.       They have pledged to put in $1.7 million in capital improvements, which they already have in cash, and do not need to apply or wait for a loan.

2.       They have a commitment from Richard Gunner to use the Gunner Well on Lanes Bridge and 10; which is already in, and is a commercial grade well, not an ag well.  Yes they will have to treat the water for contaminants; however they are using the pledged funding improve treatment, and process the water to meet Ca Water Board Standards.

3.       Their plans are to manage the water and waste systems for many new developments in this area and they have an agreement with Richard Gunner for his future development.

4.       With Calwater we have our best chance to get interconnected with new development in this area, creating a redundant supply of water capacity (meaning if a well goes down, there will be many other sources to carry on our water delivery needs.

5.       With their plan, they plan to get our water system improvements integrated with other rate payers, to prevent only 335 rate payers from carrying all the costs of capital improvements.

6.       Their plan to get us off restrictions as quickly as possible; it’s all dependent on when or if they get the approval from the county, and how many months it would take for the PUC to approve the sale.  This process is the same for any company who takes over.

Summary

In reality we all have the same goal, unfortunately we just can’t agree on the best horse to get us there. I think we can all agree; we all want the most reliable, highest quality water system, at the lowest possible cost.  However it is an oxymoron to ask for the highest quality and the most reliable, while having the lowest cost. Because the first two needs take away from the third.  One of the 3 have to give.  You have to think about value, while prioritizing the order of the 3.  It would seem logical that reliability would be #1, while quality is #2, and while price is always a concern, it is cannot be at the expense of the first two.

It appears we have two viewpoints (I'll call them Side B & C):  Side B (Bakman), is opposed to any large corporation and their corporate profits, intermingling into their life.  They would prefer to do business with a small business owner, in order to save money; even if that means sacrificing reliability, quality, and financial strength. Side B’s primary fear is that Calwater will double, triple, or further increase our water rates, once they get the chance, and they fear that one day they may be paying $200 or $300 or maybe even more for the water they could have received from a local company for approximately $100/mo.  Side B’s ultimate concern is the price of their monthly water bill.   

Side C (Calwater) is all about getting the strongest company possible, who has the most reliability and redundancy; to get a company here who has the financial strength and millions of dollars in the bank to make improvements needed; when they are needed; without having to borrow money, or stall, to figure out where the money will come from.  Side C is willing to pay a little more for this insurance, peace of mind, and reliability.  Side C understands that in order for Calwater to raise the rates, there is a process in place with the PUC, in which Calwater must justify any increase in the rates. However side C is willing to pay more, if needed, so that they do not have hear about water problems any longer, and so they will enjoy increased property values.

Ironically, the two proposals show the proposed rates are about the same anyhow.  However side B is convinced, the large corporation will jack up the rates as soon as they can, and they will get bamboozled.  All the while, side C is willing to pay more for the security and financial strength, but most likely will not have to.  How is this possible?  It’s because of having more rate payers to absorb the costs of the improvements; it’s not just the 335 ratepayers!

Calwater is an A class water company, with 2 million customers, with plenty of capital to invest; while Bakman is a B class water company, with a few thousand customers, who has to borrow money to make our improvements. In whose hands are you going to put your most valuable asset in?